Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.607382 0.761965 0.927795 1.116999 1.325124 1.545512 1.795023
2025-02-16 0.414670 0.629028 0.879735 1.185504 1.540550 1.933290 2.394547
2025-02-23 0.295973 0.529794 0.823025 1.198197 1.649606 2.162490 2.777812
2025-03-02 0.186737 0.415154 0.726791 1.146733 1.670409 2.280779 3.027475
2025-03-09 0.107695 0.317579 0.633728 1.083298 1.663542 2.355797 3.217328
2025-03-16 0.060935 0.252282 0.572290 1.050607 1.686526 2.459904 3.435657
2025-03-23 0.038972 0.222396 0.556814 1.075278 1.778849 2.645527 3.748794
2025-03-30 0.020730 0.188569 0.529028 1.078567 1.840499 2.791378 4.012662
2025-04-06 0.007207 0.150580 0.486950 1.056411 1.865142 2.888767 4.215980
2025-04-13 0.003429 0.141243 0.493552 1.104996 1.983769 3.103687 4.562328
2025-04-20 0.001199 0.132939 0.500421 1.153105 2.101305 3.317075 4.906874
2025-04-27 0.000257 0.128055 0.512915 1.209392 2.229859 3.544511 5.268917
2025-05-04 0.000033 0.130901 0.544184 1.300366 2.413754 3.852004 5.741835
2025-05-11 NaN 0.123660 0.553787 1.357879 2.552976 4.104732 6.150448
2025-05-18 NaN 0.107240 0.540113 1.376150 2.635969 4.283961 6.466847
2025-05-25 NaN 0.075796 0.483225 1.319436 2.610518 4.321130 6.605207
2025-06-01 NaN 0.048364 0.423402 1.251318 2.564508 4.328420 6.703636
2025-06-08 NaN 0.032056 0.385157 1.215891 2.562573 4.390999 6.869152
2025-06-15 NaN 0.026861 0.381767 1.242585 2.651907 4.574546 7.187860
2025-06-22 NaN 0.019751 0.366669 1.246133 2.705948 4.710565 7.445945
2025-06-29 NaN 0.011580 0.338453 1.222187 2.717125 4.788166 7.628894
2025-07-06 NaN 0.010943 0.349394 1.274676 2.844831 5.023223 8.013725
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010306 0.360023 1.326574 2.971757 5.257424 8.397745